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FebruaryFeb 13 Friday 09

2010 Senate Ratings

Here are our latest Senate ratings, reflecting Judd Gregg's (R) recent decision to take himself out of consideration for Obama's cabinet as well as his decision not to seek reelection. The race remains a Toss-Up.

Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (5 R, 0 D)
  • Bunning (R-KY)
  • FL …

FebruaryFeb 12 Thursday 09

This Can't Be What Obama, Pelosi and Reid Expected

By Stuart Rothenberg

Either Congressional Democrats went from undeniably brilliant to unbelievably inept in just a few weeks, or being in the majority in Congress isn't nearly as easy as being the opposition.

Those seem to be the two obvious alternatives that follow from …

FebruaryFeb 10 Tuesday 09

New Hampshire Senate: Did Republicans Get Rolled in the Granite State?

By Stuart Rothenberg

Initial reports that Sen. Judd Gregg (R-N.H.) would be appointed Commerce secretary were invariably followed with a caveat that Gov. John Lynch (D) had agreed to appoint another Republican to fill the vacancy, thereby maintaining the current Senate …

FebruaryFeb 6 Friday 09

New Print Edition: New York 20 & Illinois 5

The February 6, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and …

FebruaryFeb 5 Thursday 09

House GOP Finds the Right Economic Stimulus Strategy

By Stuart Rothenberg

White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs says Republicans who voted against the stimulus bill will have a lot of explaining to do to their constituents.

Americans United for Change President Brad Woodhouse, a veteran Democratic operative who spent the …

FebruaryFeb 4 Wednesday 09

2010 Senate Ratings

Here are our latest Senate ratings, changed to reflect Judd Gregg's (R) departure in New Hampshire.

Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (5 R, 0 D)
  • Bunning (R-KY)
  • FL Open (Martinez, R)
  • MO Open (Bond, R)
  • NH Open (Newman, R)
  • OH Open (Voinovich, R)
Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party …

FebruaryFeb 2 Monday 09

New York Senate: On Second Thought, Let's Make That Sen. Gillibrand

By Stuart Rothenberg

Kirsten Gillibrand, who was recently appointed to the Senate by New York Gov. David Paterson, is often described by reporters as "little known." That description is accurate, but in most cases, it says more about the reporter or news reader than …

JanuaryJan 31 Saturday 09

Statewide Officials Not Always the Senate Recruits They're Cracked Up to Be

By Nathan L. Gonzales

Democrats cheered when Colorado Attorney General John Suthers (R) announced he would not challenge newly appointed Sen. Michael Bennet (D) in 2010. And Republicans breathed a sigh of relief when New Hampshire Gov. John Lynch (D) decided not to take …

JanuaryJan 30 Friday 09

2009-2010 Gubernatorial Ratings

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. 2009 races in italics.

*Changes made to reflect the impeachment of Rod Blagojevich (D). Illinois moved to Currently Safe.

Lean Takeover (3 R, 3 D)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)
  • KS Open …

JanuaryJan 29 Thursday 09

2010 Senate Races: Another Tough Cycle For the Republicans

By Stuart Rothenberg

It's been less than three months since voters went to the polls, but the 2010 Senate cycle is off to one of the fastest starts in memory.

After being pummeled two cycles in a row -- losing six seats in 2006 and what looks like eight seats in 2008 -- …

JanuaryJan 28 Wednesday 09

Kentucky Senate: Bunning - Mongiardo Trading Cards

Back in 2004, Dr. Daniel Mongiardo (D) took on Sen. Jim Bunning (R) and lost narrowly, 51%-49%. The Democratic challenger tried to spoof Bunning's Hall of Fame baseball career with a set of trading cards. Mongiardo, who is now Kentucky's lieutenant governor, just …

Obama Begins Presidency With High Marks Across the Board

By Nathan L. Gonzales

Barack Obama begins his presidency with stratospheric marks among Democrats and the support of a fair amount of Republicans who voted against him.

According to a Research 2000 poll done for the liberal blog Daily Kos and released Friday afternoon, …

JanuaryJan 27 Tuesday 09

2009-2010 Gubernatorial Ratings

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. 2009 races in italics.

Lean Takeover (3 R, 3 D)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)
  • KS Open (Sebelius, D)
  • OK Open (Henry, D)
  • WY Open (Freudenthal, D)
Toss-Up (2 R, 4 D)
  • Gibbons (R-NV)
  • SD Open (Rounds, R)
  • JanuaryJan 26 Monday 09

    RNC Race Too Close to Call as Election Approaches

    By Stuart Rothenberg

    Races for national party chairman invariably are covered as if they are presidential campaigns. That's understandable, since elections are involved. But it's also misleading.

    When Republican National Committee members gather in the nation's capital at …

JanuaryJan 25 Sunday 09

New Print Edition: 2009-2010 Gubernatorial Outlook

The January 23, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and …

JanuaryJan 24 Saturday 09

2010 Senate Ratings

Here are our latest Senate ratings.

Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 0 D)
  • Bunning (R-KY)
  • FL Open (Martinez, R)
  • MO Open (Bond, R)
  • OH Open (Voinovich, R)
Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (4 R, 2 D)
  • Burr (R-NC)
  • Gregg (R-NH)
  • Specter (R-PA)
  • Vitter (R-LA)
  • Bennet (D-CO)
  • Reid …

New York 20: Treadwell Not Running

By Nathan L. Gonzales

With Republican and Democratic candidates scrambling for position in the special election in New York's 20th District, 2008 GOP nominee Sandy Treadwell is not jumping into the race, according to GOP sources.

Treadwell, who spent almost $6 million of …

JanuaryJan 23 Friday 09

California 44: Hedrick Readies Rematch

By Nathan L. Gonzales

Democrat Bill Hedrick came close to becoming one of the surprise winners of the 2008 Election, when the president of the Rialto Education Association lost to Republican Cong. Ken Calvert 51%-49% in California's 44th District.

He was severely outspent …

JanuaryJan 22 Thursday 09

Recruiting Battles Set To Kick Off

By Nathan L. Gonzales

Each election cycle, the competing interests of the various campaign committees collide when it comes to candidate recruitment efforts, as a victory for one arm sometimes leaves an open-seat headache for another.

There are already a handful of House …

JanuaryJan 20 Tuesday 09

Bad News Comes Early for Senate Republicans

By Nathan L. Gonzales

The 2010 election cycle is just a couple months old, and Senate Republicans have almost equaled their number of retirements from last cycle, when their party lost eight seats. But this time around, Senators with one foot out the door appear to be …

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